Prediction of Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Ivan Perez Martin at M15 Pontevedra 10-07-25

• Second serve performance favors Ivan Perez Martin, who wins 56.82% of points compared to Rafael Izquierdo Luque’s 45.29%. Could Ivan’s second serve advantage tilt the match in his favor?
• Rafael Izquierdo Luque shows stronger return stats on first serve returns with 33.59% compared to Ivan Perez Martin’s 29.74%, but falls behind on second serve return points.
• Under pressure, both players are similar. Rafael saves 51.03% of breakpoints, closely matched by Ivan at 52.78%.
• Performance over the last year strongly favors Rafael Izquierdo Luque, with a win rate of 57.89% against Ivan Perez Martin's 23.08%.
• Rafael shines on Hard courts with a 61% win rate, unlike Ivan who struggles on this surface, winning 31% of matches.
• Both players frequently compete in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events, but Rafael’s match success is significantly better, achieving a 57.89% win rate against Ivan's 25.00%.
• Ivan Perez Martin has played against slightly higher-ranked opponents with an average rank of 242.54, in comparison to Rafael’s opponents, averaging 269.26.
• In deciding sets, Rafael Izquierdo Luque has a better performance, winning 50% of them versus Ivan’s 20% success rate, potentially crucial in a close match.
• Evaluate their current form by examining the current event stats for an up-to-date prediction—some players excel at specific tournaments.

Editorial Prediction (October 7, 2025, UTC):

When assessing the upcoming match, there is a discernible difference in form and performance metrics between Rafael Izquierdo Luque and Ivan Perez Martin.

Rafael exhibits a marked advantage in overall match wins, particularly in the past year, while Ivan's second serve success is a notable contrast. However, Rafael's prowess on Hard surfaces adds a significant edge.

Under pressure, both maintain similar breakpoint saves, but Rafael's aptitude in deciding sets adds weight in his favor.

Considering these factors, combined with Rafael's superior form on the ATP tour, he is the likely winner for this matchup against Ivan Perez Martin.